how is it possible for climate models to be as reliable as the models used in other branches of science?
In other branches of science, through observation and trial and error one can refine and reduce the uncertainties. In climate science it is acknowledged that the observations of our climate system are inadequate. Trenberth called it a "travesty".
He thinks it is a travesty that we lack proper observations, not that he thinks that the models are inadequate.
Is this why the climate models always fail to predict the future?
The models are hind-cast to fit past climate data. Since this climate data has been altered the models are fundamentally flawed and therefore do not fit the REAL temperature curves going forward. It would make sense that the models don’t parallel observation.
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